Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shamaine Daniels a 33% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Shamaine Daniels won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Shamaine Daniels — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Richard Chase Coplen — 33% model odds
  3. Scattered — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts