Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Bognet a 79% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Jim Bognet won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Bognet — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Paul Marsicano — 10% model odds
  3. Scattered — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts