Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Scheller a 76% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Lisa Scheller won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lisa Scheller — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Kevin Willard Dellicker — 12% model odds
  3. Scattered — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts