Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dwight Evans a 79% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Dwight Evans won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dwight Evans — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Alexandra Marguerite Hunt — 9% model odds
  3. Michael S. Cogbill — 6% model odds
  4. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts