Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Fitzpatrick an 80% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Brian Fitzpatrick won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Fitzpatrick — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Alex Entin — 10% model odds
  3. Scattered — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts