Oregon Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Rae Perkins an 11% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2022 primary. Joe Rae Perkins won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Rae Perkins — 11% model odds (won)
  2. Darin Harbick — 11% model odds
  3. Sam Palmer — 11% model odds
  4. Jason Beebe — 11% model odds
  5. Christopher C. Christensen — 11% model odds
  6. Robert M. Fleming — 11% model odds
  7. Ibra A. Taher — 11% model odds
  8. Scattered — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts