Oregon Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Wyden a 56% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2022 primary. Ron Wyden won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ron Wyden — 56% model odds (won)
2. William E., Iii Barlow — 15% model odds
3. Brent Thompson — 15% model odds
4. Scattered — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts