Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Erickson a 44% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Mike Erickson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Erickson — 44% model odds (won)
  2. Ron Noble — 19% model odds
  3. Amy L. Ryan Courser — 6% model odds
  4. Angela Plowhead — 6% model odds
  5. Jim Bunn — 6% model odds
  6. David Russ — 6% model odds
  7. Nathan A. Sandvig — 6% model odds
  8. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts