Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrea Salinas a 66% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Andrea Salinas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andrea Salinas — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Teresa Alonso Leon — 8% model odds
  3. Carrick Flynn — 3% model odds
  4. Cody Reynolds — 3% model odds
  5. Loretta Smith — 3% model odds
  6. Matt West — 3% model odds
  7. Kathleen Harder — 3% model odds
  8. Scattered — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts