Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lori Chavez-Deremer a 52% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Lori Chavez-Deremer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lori Chavez-Deremer — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Jimmy Crumpacker — 24% model odds
  3. John Di Paola — 6% model odds
  4. Laurel L. Roses — 6% model odds
  5. Madison Oatman — 6% model odds
  6. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts