Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kurt Schrader a 48% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Jamie Mcleod-Skinner won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Kurt Schrader — 48% model odds
- Jamie Mcleod-Skinner — 47% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 5% model odds