Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alek Skarlatos a 33% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Alek Skarlatos won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Alek Skarlatos — 33% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 33% model odds
3. Mike Beilstein — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts