Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Val Hoyle a 68% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Val Hoyle won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Val Hoyle — 68% model odds (won)
2. Doyle E. Canning — 5% model odds
3. John S. Selker — 5% model odds
4. Andrew Kalloch — 5% model odds
5. Sami Al-Abdrabbuh — 4% model odds
6. G. Tommy Smith — 4% model odds
7. Scattered — 4% model odds
8. Jake Matthews — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts