Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Earl Blumenauer an 83% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Earl Blumenauer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Earl Blumenauer — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Jonathan E. Polhemus — 9% model odds
  3. Scattered — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts