Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Suzanne Bonamici an 84% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Suzanne Bonamici won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Suzanne Bonamici — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Christian Robertson — 6% model odds
  3. Scattered — 6% model odds
  4. Scott Phillips — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts