Oklahoma Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Markwayne Mullin a 50% chance of winning the Oklahoma Senate 2022 primary. Markwayne Mullin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Markwayne Mullin — 50% model odds (won)
2. T.W. Shannon — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts