Oklahoma Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Lankford a 9% chance of winning the Oklahoma Senate 2022 primary. James Lankford won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James Lankford — 9% model odds (won)
  2. Markwayne Mullin — 6% model odds
  3. T.W. Shannon — 6% model odds
  4. Nathan Dahm — 6% model odds
  5. Luke Holland — 6% model odds
  6. Scott Pruitt — 6% model odds
  7. Randy J. Grellner — 6% model odds
  8. Laura Moreno — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts