Oklahoma Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dennis L. Baker a 34% chance of winning the Oklahoma Senate 2022 primary. Madison Horn won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Dennis L. Baker — 34% model odds
2. Kendra Horn — 11% model odds
3. Madison Horn — 11% model odds (won)
4. Jason Bollinger — 11% model odds
5. Jo Glenn — 11% model odds
6. Brandon Wade — 11% model odds
7. Arya Azma — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts