Oklahoma House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank D. Lucas a 71% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2022 primary. Frank D. Lucas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank D. Lucas — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Wade Burleson — 19% model odds
  3. Stephen Butler — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts