Oklahoma House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Bennett a 32% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2022 primary. Avery Frix won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. John Bennett — 32% model odds
  2. Josh Brecheen — 6% model odds
  3. Marty Quinn — 6% model odds
  4. Pamela Gordon — 6% model odds
  5. Avery Frix — 5% model odds (won)
  6. Johnny Teehee — 5% model odds
  7. Guy Barker — 5% model odds
  8. Wes Nofire — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts