Ohio Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jd Vance a 72% chance of winning the Ohio Senate 2022 primary. Jd Vance won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jd Vance — 72% model odds (won)
  2. Josh Mandel — 5% model odds
  3. Matt Dolan — 5% model odds
  4. Mike Gibbons — 5% model odds
  5. Jane Timken — 5% model odds
  6. Mark Pukita — 5% model odds
  7. Neil Patel — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts