Ohio Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Ryan a 78% chance of winning the Ohio Senate 2022 primary. Tim Ryan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tim Ryan — 78% model odds (won)
2. Morgan Harper — 11% model odds
3. Traci Tj Johnson — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts