Ohio House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madison Gesiotto Gilbert a 52% chance of winning the Ohio House 2022 primary. Madison Gesiotto Gilbert won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Madison Gesiotto Gilbert — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Janet Folger Porter — 24% model odds
  3. Greg Wheeler — 11% model odds
  4. Shay Hawkins — 3% model odds
  5. Dante N. Sabatucci — 3% model odds
  6. Ryan Saylor — 3% model odds
  7. Santana F. King — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts