Ohio House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Esrati a 79% chance of winning the Ohio House 2022 primary. David Esrati won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Esrati — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff Hardenbrook — 9% model odds
  3. Kirk Benjamin — 9% model odds
  4. Baxter Stapleton — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts