Ohio House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave J. R. Majewski a 37% chance of winning the Ohio House 2022 primary. J. R. Majewski won, matching the model's top pick.

1. J. R. Majewski — 37% model odds (won)
2. Craig S. Riedel — 35% model odds
3. Theresa Gavarone — 25% model odds
4. Beth Deck — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts