Ohio House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Johnson an 82% chance of winning the Ohio House 2022 primary. Bill Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Bill Johnson — 82% model odds (won)
2. John Anderson — 8% model odds
3. Gregory M. Zelenitz — 8% model odds
4. Michael S. Morgenstern — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts