Ohio House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Craig Swartz a 79% chance of winning the Ohio House 2022 primary. Craig Swartz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Craig Swartz — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Martin, Iii Heberling — 21% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts