New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Higgins a 90% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Brian Higgins won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Brian Higgins — 90% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 7% model odds
3. Emin Eddie Egriu — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts