New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carl P. Paladino a 41% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Nick Langworthy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Carl P. Paladino — 41% model odds
- Nick Langworthy — 17% model odds
- Nick Langworthy — 17% model odds (won)
- Nick Langworthy — 17% model odds
- Scattered — 7% model odds