New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Francis Conole a 47% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Francis Conole won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Francis Conole — 47% model odds (won)
2. Sarah Klee Hood — 43% model odds
3. Sam Roberts — 3% model odds
4. Chol Majok — 3% model odds
5. Scattered — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts