New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul D. Tonko an 84% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Paul D. Tonko won, matching the model's top pick.
- Paul D. Tonko — 84% model odds (won)
- Rostislav Rar — 8% model odds
- Scattered — 8% model odds