New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Riley a 59% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Josh Riley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Josh Riley — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Jamie Cheney — 36% model odds
  3. Scattered — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts