New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brittany Ramos Debarros a 49% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Max N. Rose won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Brittany Ramos Debarros — 49% model odds
  2. Max N. Rose — 46% model odds (won)
  3. Komi Agoda-Koussema — 3% model odds
  4. Scattered — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts