New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elizabeth Holtzman a 29% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Daniel Goldman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Elizabeth Holtzman — 29% model odds
- Mondaire L. Jones — 24% model odds
- Carlina Rivera — 24% model odds
- Daniel Goldman — 4% model odds (won)
- Yuh-Line Niou — 4% model odds
- Maud Maron — 2% model odds
- Brian Robinson — 2% model odds
- Jo Anne Simon — 2% model odds