New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hakeem S. Jeffries an 83% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Hakeem S. Jeffries won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Hakeem S. Jeffries — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Queen Johnson — 10% model odds
  3. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts