New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nydia M. Velazquez an 87% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Nydia M. Velazquez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nydia M. Velazquez — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Paperboy Love Prince — 6% model odds
  3. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts