Nevada Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Catherine Cortez Masto a 39% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2022 primary. Catherine Cortez Masto won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Catherine Cortez Masto — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Corey Reid — 15% model odds
  3. Of These Candidates — 15% model odds
  4. Allen Rheinhart — 15% model odds
  5. Stephanie Kasheta — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts