Nevada House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sam Peters a 76% chance of winning the Nevada House 2022 primary. Sam Peters won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sam Peters — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Ann "Annie" Black — 12% model odds
  3. Chance Bonaventura — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts