Nevada House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark E. Amodei a 69% chance of winning the Nevada House 2022 primary. Mark E. Amodei won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark E. Amodei — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Danny Tarkanian — 17% model odds
  3. Joel Beck — 5% model odds
  4. Catherine Marie Sampson — 5% model odds
  5. Brian Nadell — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts