Nevada House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Doucette a 23% chance of winning the Nevada House 2022 primary. Elizabeth Mercedes Krause won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Michael Doucette — 23% model odds
  2. Elizabeth Mercedes Krause — 13% model odds (won)
  3. Tim Hanifan — 13% model odds
  4. Rahul A. Joshi — 13% model odds
  5. Brian J. Hansen — 13% model odds
  6. Gerold Lee Gorman — 13% model odds
  7. Joseph Edward Afzal — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts