Nevada House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Robertson a 67% chance of winning the Nevada House 2022 primary. Mark Robertson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Robertson — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Carolina Andrea Serrano — 7% model odds
  3. Jane Adams — 6% model odds
  4. David Brog — 5% model odds
  5. Morgun Sholty — 4% model odds
  6. Cresent Hardy — 4% model odds
  7. Cynthia Dianne Steel — 4% model odds
  8. Jessie Turner — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts