New Mexico House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gabriel Vasquez a 97% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2022 primary. Gabriel Vasquez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gabriel Vasquez — 97% model odds (won)
  2. Darshan N. Patel — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts