New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tayfun Selen a 24% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Paul Degroot won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Tayfun Selen — 24% model odds
- Toby Anderson — 24% model odds
- Paul Degroot — 22% model odds (won)
- Ruth Mcandrew — 15% model odds
- Alexander R. Halter — 15% model odds