New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David H. Pinckney a 50% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. David H. Pinckney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David H. Pinckney — 50% model odds (won)
2. Garth Stewart — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts