New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald M., Jr. Payne a 63% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Donald M., Jr. Payne won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald M., Jr. Payne — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Imani Oakley — 32% model odds
  3. Akil Khalfani — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts