New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert J. Menendez a 51% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Robert J. Menendez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert J. Menendez — 51% model odds (won)
  2. David Ocampo Grajales — 43% model odds
  3. Ane Roseborough-Eberhard — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts