New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank T. Pallota a 78% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Frank T. Pallota won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Frank T. Pallota — 78% model odds (won)
2. Nick De Gregorio — 10% model odds
3. Sab Skenderi — 6% model odds
4. Fred Schneiderman — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts