New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Van Drew an 83% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Jeff Van Drew won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jeff Van Drew — 83% model odds (won)
2. John Barker — 9% model odds
3. Sean Pignatelli — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts