New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald W. Norcoss an 87% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Donald W. Norcoss won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald W. Norcoss — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Mario Desantis — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts