New Hampshire Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce Fenton a 29% chance of winning the New Hampshire Senate 2022 primary. Maggie Hassan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Bruce Fenton — 29% model odds
- Maggie Hassan — 29% model odds (won)
- Donald C. Bolduc — 22% model odds
- Paul J. Krautmann — 2% model odds
- John Riggieri — 2% model odds
- Scattered — 2% model odds
- Chuck Morse — 2% model odds
- Kevin H. Smith — 2% model odds